Bangladesh on edge

December 26, 2025

Bangladesh is witnessing a politically charged moment as Bangladesh Nationalist Party acting chairman Tarique Rahman returns home, ending a 17-year exile that began in 2008. His arrival comes at a time when the country is already simmering with political tension, uncertainty, and public unrest following major shifts in governance over the past year.

Rahman, the elder son of former prime minister Khaleda Zia, left Bangladesh during a period marked by military-backed rule and a wave of corruption cases against senior political leaders. While living in London, he was convicted in multiple cases in absentia, effectively keeping him away from active politics on the ground. However, after the collapse of Sheikh Hasina’s government and subsequent legal reversals, the path was cleared for his return, a development seen by his supporters as long overdue.
His homecoming has energized the BNP, which has struggled for relevance after years of political marginalisation. Party workers and supporters have poured into Dhaka to welcome him, viewing his return as a symbol of revival and resistance. For many within the BNP, Rahman is not just a leader returning home but a potential future prime minister who could steer the party into the next national election.

The timing of his return is significant. Bangladesh is currently under an interim administration tasked with restoring order and overseeing a transition toward elections. Street protests, economic pressures, and lingering anger over governance failures have created a volatile environment. Against this backdrop, Rahman’s presence adds a new dynamic to an already fragile political equation.

Rahman’s first priority has been his ailing mother, Khaleda Zia, whose health has kept her largely out of active politics. Yet, his political influence is undeniable. Even during exile, he remained the party’s central strategist, shaping decisions and messaging from afar. Now on home soil, his leadership is expected to be more assertive and visible.
Regionally, his return is being closely watched, especially by neighbouring India, given the BNP’s past positions on foreign policy and regional cooperation. Analysts believe the developments in Bangladesh could have broader implications for South Asian politics.
As Bangladesh stands at a crossroads, Tarique Rahman’s return marks a pivotal moment. Whether it leads to political stability or deeper confrontation will depend on how the coming months unfold in a nation eager for change but wary of its past.